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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Assists
Player Prop - 1/29/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +114 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has compiled 7.5 assists per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric.

Among all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard registers in the 94th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 34.7 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.

The most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bucks will likely see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 10.5 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets (lengthening possessions that can result in more opportunities for offense).

Damian Lillard will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens stat production for all stats.

More Damian Lillard Player Props

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