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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Assists
Player Prop - 1/17/2024

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Damian Lillard has averaged 7.4 assists per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's best in this category.
  • Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard ranks in the 94th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 35.1 minutes per game on the road this year.
  • Compared to last season's 0.1 rate, Damian Lillard's technical fouls have diminished this season to 0.0 per game.
  • The 2nd-speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which should decrease possessions for the Bucks.
  • Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 1stworst in in the league while playing on the road with just 9.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
  • Damian Lillard will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player performance across the board.

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