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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Assists
Player Prop - 1/11/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-136/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +106 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Damian Lillard has totaled 6.4 assists per game this year at home, putting him among the hottest players in the league in this category over this stretch of games: 96th percentile.
  • Damian Lillard has been on the court for 35.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 97th percentile.
  • The speediest pace home team in the league this year has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
  • Damian Lillard will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court tends to boost stat production across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Damian Lillard has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's been called for overall this season.
  • The Celtics have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Bucks.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
  • Over the last 25 games, the other team has nabbed 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics (retaining possessions that can bring about bonus opportunities for offense).

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