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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Assists
Player Prop - 1/4/2024

San Antonio Spurs vs Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+115/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has posted 7.2 assists per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- among the league leaders by this standard.

Damian Lillard has played 34.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

In comparison to last year's 0.1 rate, Damian Lillard's technical fouls have declined this year to 0.0 per game.

The most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Spurs have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Bucks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bucks rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Spurs have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.4) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Damian Lillard will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

More Damian Lillard Player Props

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