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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Assists
Player Prop - 12/17/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets

Damian Lillard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has tallied 6.3 assists per game this year at home, putting him among the league's hottest in this category recently: 97th percentile.

Damian Lillard has tallied 34.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 96th percentile.

The Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Damian Lillard stands to see a rise in effectiveness for all stats as a result of having the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Houston Rockets).

Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 4thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing teams have come down with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (retaining possessions that can spark added chances for offense).

More Damian Lillard Player Props

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