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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Assists
Player Prop - 12/11/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls

Damian Lillard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has posted 9.0 assists per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 2.1 higher than he's posted in all games this season at home.

Damian Lillard has averaged 34.8 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

In comparison to last year's 0.1 rate, Damian Lillard's technical fouls have tailed off this year to 0.0 per game.

The 2nd-quickest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Bucks.

Damian Lillard will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player performance in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from facing the least up-tempo pace home team in the league this year (the Chicago Bulls).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 5thworst in in the league on the road with just 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Without the home court advantage, the Bulls have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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