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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Assists
Player Prop - 11/13/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +109 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Damian Lillard has posted 7.1 assists per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season, placing him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's best in this category.
  • Out of all players in the league, Damian Lillard rates in the 89th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 34.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year.
  • Damian Lillard has committed 1.4 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 24th percentile -- among the league's lowest-fouling.
  • The Bucks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home.
  • Damian Lillard will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to raise player production in all stat categories.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bulls have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league on the road this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Bucks.
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 3rdworst in in the league while at home with only 7.8 offensive boards per game this year.
  • This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have snagged 11.6 offensive boards per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the Chicago Bulls (lengthening possessions that can create extra opportunities for offense).

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