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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Assists
Player Prop - 3/17/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-165/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -165.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Damian Lillard has put up 7.3 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 98th percentile.
  • Damian Lillard has tallied 35.9 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
  • The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
  • Damian Lillard will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raises player performance in all stat categories.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Damian Lillard has been called for 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.1 more than he's been called for overall this year.
  • The Celtics have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games without the home court advantage, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Trail Blazers.
  • While playing on the road, the Celtics have given up the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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