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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Assists
Player Prop - 3/3/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Portland Trail Blazers

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-142/+116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Damian Lillard has compiled 7.3 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 98th percentile.
  • Damian Lillard has played 36.0 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Damian Lillard has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to technicals (99th percentile).
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
  • The Hawks have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Trail Blazers.
  • With the home court advantage, the Hawks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
  • Damian Lillard will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

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