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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Assists
Player Prop - 3/1/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs New Orleans Pelicans

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-128/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -128.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Damian Lillard has totaled 7.3 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 98th percentile.
  • Damian Lillard has been on the court for 35.9 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 98th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
  • The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Pelicans have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
  • Damian Lillard will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally boosts player production in all stat categories.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Damian Lillard has committed 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.1 more than he's committed in all games this season.
  • The Pelicans have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce plays for the Trail Blazers.

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