Damian Lillard Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2023

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Assists

Portland Trail Blazers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Feb 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has compiled 7.4 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 98th percentile.
Damian Lillard has been on the court for 35.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Bucks have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to increase plays for the Trail Blazers.

Favors Under

Damian Lillard has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game at home this year, placing him in the 76th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Portland Trail Blazers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Bucks have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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