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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Assists
Player Prop - 2/3/2023

Washington Wizards vs Portland Trail Blazers

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Damian Lillard has totaled 7.4 assists per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 98th percentile.
  • Damian Lillard has played 35.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 98th percentile.
  • The Wizards have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should raise possessions for the Trail Blazers.
  • The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
  • While at home, the Wizards have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Damian Lillard has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (93rd percentile).
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home court this year.
  • Damian Lillard will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduces player production across the board.

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