Damian Lillard Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2023

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Assists

Portland Trail Blazers vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 28, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has tallied 9.8 assists per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's tallied overall this year.
Damian Lillard has tallied 34.9 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Raptors have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games while playing on the road (which also create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Damian Lillard will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally improves player production across the board.

Favors Under

Damian Lillard has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 76th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games on the road, which should decrease opportunities for the Raptors.

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