Dalano Banton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Dalano Banton

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 4, 2024

Updated Mar 5, 2024 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

Dalano Banton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Dalano Banton slots into the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, totaling just 1.0 fouls per game when playing on the road this year.
The Trail Blazers have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year, their opposition has captured 10.3 offensive boards per game (9th-lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (losing possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus chances for offense).
Dalano Banton has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 25.0% higher than he's sunk overall this season on the road.
The matchup vs. Minnesota may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted a whopping 3.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves are on their home court (25th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 25.5% rate, Dalano Banton's 3-point performance has dropped this season to 16.5%.
Among all players in the league, Dalano Banton places in the 17th percentile for playing time, totaling a mere 9.6 minutes per game this year.
The Trail Blazers rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Minnesota is a hard one for three-pointers; when the Timberwolves are at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 15th-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (1.3).
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games.