Craig Porter Points - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2023

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Craig Porter

NBA · Player Props

Craig Porter

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 27, 2023

Updated Dec 28, 2023 1:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Craig Porter Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Craig Porter Jr. has attempted 8.0 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted overall this year.
Among all players in the league, Craig Porter Jr. rates in the 13th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a measly 1.0 fouls per game this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The Cavaliers are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from facing the 6th-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Favors Under

Craig Porter Jr. has attempted 0.8 3-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 16th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 4.6 three attempts per game (12th-fewest in the league) against the Mavericks, making this a challenging matchup.
The Cavaliers have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Cavaliers check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year, the other team has grabbed 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Mavericks (continuing possessions that can lead to bonus chances for offense).

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