Craig Porter Points - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2023

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Craig Porter

NBA · Player Props

Craig Porter

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Dec 21, 2023

Updated Dec 22, 2023 12:43 AM UTC

Analysis

Craig Porter Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Craig Porter Jr. has tallied 1.0 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 19th percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 7.1 3-point attempts per game (28th-highest in the league) vs. the Pelicans, identifying this as a good matchup.
The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games when playing at home.
The Cleveland Cavaliers will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pelicans).
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Craig Porter Jr. has attempted 1.1 threes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 21st percentile among all players in the league.
As it relates to offense, the Cleveland Cavaliers's unimpressive 113.3 points per game playing at home places 9th-weakest in the NBA this year.

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