Craig Porter Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Craig Porter

NBA · Player Props

Craig Porter

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 12:54 AM UTC

Analysis

Craig Porter Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the 28th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.4).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 6thbest in in the league on their home court with 11.8 offensive boards per game this year.
When playing on the road, the Heat have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Craig Porter should get a boost in output for all stats in light of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Craig Porter lands in the 13th percentile for 3-point effectiveness while playing at home with a a bad 0.0% rate this year.
Craig Porter has attempted 0.3 3-point shots per game this year, placing him in the 19th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league while playing at home this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the road team.
The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from facing the 2nd-slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Heat).

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