Corey Kispert Points - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2023

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Corey Kispert

NBA · Player Props

Corey Kispert

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Orlando Magic vs Washington Wizards · Nov 29, 2023

Updated Nov 29, 2023 11:23 PM EST

Analysis

Corey Kispert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With respect to offense, the Washington Wizards's exceptional 118.4 points per game measures as the 6th-best in the league this year.
The Washington Wizards have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Washington Wizards are expected to see a rise in possessions today from facing the 4th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Orlando Magic).
This year when they are at home, opposing teams have come down with 8.8 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic (minimizing possessions that could otherwise create bonus chances for offense).
Corey Kispert has sunk a whopping 95.0% of his free throws this season, a significant increase from his 75.8 rate last season.

Favors Under

Corey Kispert has converted a lowly 36.0% of his shot attempts from the field this year, significantly lower than his 51.5 mark last year.
Relative to last year's 27.8 mark, Corey Kispert's playing time has regressed this year to 22.6 minutes per game.
This matchup is a good one for 3-point shots; opposing squads have put up the 9th-highest three rate in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (38.3%).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards grade out 3rdworst in in the league away from home with a mere 8.5 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the other team has attempted 27.2 free throws per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Magic, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

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