Corey Kispert Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2023

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Corey Kispert

NBA · Player Props

Corey Kispert

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Washington Wizards · Feb 13, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Corey Kispert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Corey Kispert has made 51.7% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games on the road, 12.0% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season when playing on the road.
The Washington Wizards check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage.
The Warriors have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to more plays for the Wizards.
Corey Kispert has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 17.3% more than he's sunk overall this season.

Favors Under

The matchup against Andrew Wiggins is a challenging one; he has given up a measly 12.8 points per game on his home court when defending opposing starting SFs this year (4th percentile).
The Washington Wizards have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Andrew Wiggins is a challenging one for drawing fouls; when Wiggins is at home and matched up against fellow starting SFs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.3 free throws per game (8th percentile).
Corey Kispert will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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