Corey Kispert Points - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2023

NBA · Player Props

Corey Kispert

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Feb 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Corey Kispert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Corey Kispert has converted 2.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games in terms of 3-point attempts.
The Cavaliers have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Corey Kispert has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 18.7% higher than he's made overall this year.
This matchup may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; when the Cavaliers are away from home, opposing clubs have attempted a colossal 22.1 free throws per game over the last 20 games (3rd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Cavaliers is a difficult one for three-pointers; the other team have shot for the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA over the last 25 games (39.4%).
The matchup against the Cavaliers is a challenging one for three-point attempts; opposing starting SGs have tallied the least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6).
The Washington Wizards have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games playing at home.
The Cavaliers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Wizards.
The Washington Wizards have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).