Cooper Flagg Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2026

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Cooper Flagg

NBA · Player Props

Cooper Flagg

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 16, 2026

Updated Mar 17, 2026 12:03 AM UTC

Analysis

Cooper Flagg Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-137/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Cooper Flagg has posted 23.9 points per game over the last 15 games, 3.8 higher than he's posted overall this season.
In terms of scoring, the Mavericks's impressive 47.4% field goal rate as the away team places 8th-highest in the league over the last 25 games.
The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pelicans).

Favors Under

The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans is a difficult one for shot attempts from the field; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the least field goal attempts per game in the league this year (9.1).
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.1 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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