Cooper Flagg Points - Player Prop Bet 12/5/2025

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Cooper Flagg

NBA · Player Props

Cooper Flagg

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 5, 2025

Updated Dec 6, 2025 4:39 AM UTC

Analysis

Cooper Flagg Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Cooper Flagg has tallied 21.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA as the visting team this year.
The Mavericks will likely get a boost in possessions today from competing against the 8th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).
As a team, the Mavericks have been very successful at drawing fouls: 9th-best in the NBA this year, drawing 26.0 foul shots per game.
The matchup against Oklahoma may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a colossal 4.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Oklahoma City Thunder are playing at home (7th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a challenging one for threes; opposing starting SFs have posted the 2nd-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (25.5%).
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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