Cooper Flagg Points - Player Prop Bet 12/3/2025

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Cooper Flagg

NBA · Player Props

Cooper Flagg

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat · Dec 3, 2025

Updated Dec 4, 2025 1:29 AM UTC

Analysis

Cooper Flagg Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-124/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. Miami is a favorable one for three-point attempts; when the Miami Heat are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).
The 5th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Mavericks will likely see an increase in plays today from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year (the Heat).
In terms of getting to the free-throw line, the Dallas Mavericks's remarkable 30.4 foul shot attempts per game while at home settles in as the best in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the Heat may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the league).

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 7thworst in in the NBA with a mere 10.2 offensive boards per game this year.

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