Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2026

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 5, 2026

Updated Mar 6, 2026 1:48 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With respect to scoring, the Chicago Bulls's remarkable 117.9 points per game as the road team measures as the 7th-best in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Bulls have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the league while playing on the road this year.
Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.4 free throws per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Suns, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 18.4 rate, Collin Sexton's points per game have fallen this year to 14.1.
The matchup vs. the Phoenix Suns is a challenging one for three-point shots; opposing starting SGs have totaled the least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (1.5).
The Suns have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Bulls.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, but the Bulls grade out 4thworst in in the NBA as the road team with only 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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