Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2026

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 1, 2026

Updated Mar 1, 2026 8:10 PM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -101 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bulls rank as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup against Milwaukee is a favorable one for 3-point shots; when the Bucks are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SGs have posted the 5th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (43.5%).
The Bulls have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA this year.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (6th-most in the league) against the Bucks, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

Collin Sexton has put up a measly 13.8 points per game this season, quite a bit less than his 18.4 points per game last season.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should reduce plays for the Bulls.
The Chicago Bulls have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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