Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2025

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Houston Rockets vs Utah Jazz · Apr 2, 2025

Updated Apr 3, 2025 1:05 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has attempted 16.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 2.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.
Among all players in the league, Collin Sexton registers in the 82nd percentile for three-point effectiveness with an excellent 38.4% rate this year.
The Jazz have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Rockets have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Utah Jazz.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA on the road with 14.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

Collin Sexton has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
The Utah Jazz check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. Houston is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Rockets have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SGs have compiled the lowest three rate in the NBA this year (24.8%).
Collin Sexton ought to suffer a reduction in effectiveness for all stats in light of being on the road in this matchup.

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