Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2025

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 23, 2025

Updated Mar 24, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has successfully made 8.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.
Collin Sexton has sunk 48.3% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 9.3% higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season.
The Jazz have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 2.8 free throws per game (10th-most in the league) against the Cavaliers, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Collin Sexton has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed over the course of the year.
The Jazz check in as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league while at home this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have notched 12.1 points per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Cavaliers, identifying this as a challenging matchup for offensive performance.
The Utah Jazz are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from facing the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).

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