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Collin Sexton

Collin Sexton Points
Player Prop - 3/16/2025

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz

 
 
 
Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-122/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Collin Sexton has attempted 16.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 2.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.
  • The fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Jazz.
  • The Jazz check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
  • Collin Sexton has made 4.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games, 0.9 more than he's converted overall this season.
  • The matchup vs. Minnesota may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 3.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves are playing at home (6th-most in the league).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Collin Sexton places in the 76th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a colossal 2.2 fouls per game this year.
  • The Jazz rank as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year in terms of field goals.
  • The matchup against Minnesota is a hard one for three-point shots; when the Minnesota Timberwolves have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SGs have tallied the least treys per game in the NBA this year (1.3).
  • The Jazz are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Timberwolves).
  • Collin Sexton will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease player performance across the board.

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