Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2025

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 14, 2025

Updated Mar 15, 2025 3:00 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Collin Sexton measures in the 83rd percentile, compiling a monstrous 16.7 points per game playing at home this year.
The Jazz have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Jazz will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Toronto Raptors).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 15.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Collin Sexton has successfully made 4.6 free throws per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.1 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year while at home.

Favors Under

The Utah Jazz have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league while on their home court this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 4.3 3-point attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Toronto Raptors, marking this as a challenging matchup.
The matchup vs. the Toronto Raptors may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games (least in the NBA).

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