Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2025

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz · Mar 12, 2025

Updated Mar 13, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has attempted 16.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 2.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to raise plays for the Utah Jazz.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Jazz rank 2nd-best in in the league as the away team with 14.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Collin Sexton has sunk 4.5 free throws per game over the last 15 games, 1.0 higher than he's converted overall this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Collin Sexton comes in at the 75th percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 2.2 fouls per game this year.
When it comes to field goals, the Jazz's lackluster 40.4 made baskets per game measures as the 9th-weakest in the league this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SGs have posted 9.9 points per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, labeling this as a difficult matchup for offensive productivity.
Collin Sexton stands to experience a decrease in efficiency across the board considering being on the road in this matchup.

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