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Collin Sexton

Collin Sexton Points
Player Prop - 3/10/2025

Boston Celtics vs Utah Jazz

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-134/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -107 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -134.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Collin Sexton has attempted 16.3 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games on the road, 2.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.

Out of all players in the NBA, Collin Sexton rates in the 80th percentile for 3-point performance with an excellent 37.8% rate this year.

The matchup against Boston is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Boston Celtics are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.8).

The Utah Jazz have played at the fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz rank 2nd-best in in the NBA away from home with 14.9 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With respect to shooting, the Jazz's feeble 40.4 sunk shots per game places 9th-weakest in the NBA this year.

The matchup against Jrue Holiday is a tough one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when Holiday is at home and matched up against fellow starting SGs this year, they have successfully made a lowly 30.6% of their shots from behind the three-point arc (17th percentile).

The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Jazz.

The matchup against Boston may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.4 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Boston Celtics are playing at home (least in the league).

Collin Sexton figures to suffer a reduction in output in all stat categories due to playing away from home in this game.

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