Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2025

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 3, 2025

Updated Mar 4, 2025 1:59 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Collin Sexton places in the 83rd percentile, tallying a monstrous 16.8 points per game when playing at home this year.
The Jazz have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.
The Pistons have played at the fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to increased possessions for the Utah Jazz.
The Jazz have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Collin Sexton has sunk 4.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

Favors Under

The Jazz check in as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league while playing at home this year.
This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 27.6% on threes (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Pistons, branding this as a hard matchup.

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