Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2025

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 28, 2025

Updated Mar 1, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Collin Sexton comes in at the 84th percentile, totaling a whopping 17.0 points per game while on his home court this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 2.6 three-pointers per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, branding this as a positive matchup.
The Jazz rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Collin Sexton has attempted 5.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
Collin Sexton will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raise stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

In regard to offense, the Utah Jazz's subpar 111.1 points per game while playing at home comes in as the 7th-fewest in the league this year.
The Jazz have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while at home.
The Utah Jazz are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 7th-most sluggish pace offense in the league this year (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
The matchup against the Timberwolves may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a measly 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

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