Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2025

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Orlando Magic · Feb 1, 2025

Updated Feb 2, 2025 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-143/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has attempted 16.0 field goals per game over the last 15 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Collin Sexton has successfully made 52.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 16.2% more than he's made from three in all games this season while on his home court.
Collin Sexton has played 29.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 75th percentile.
The matchup vs. Orlando is a positive one; when the Orlando Magic are away from home, they have allowed the most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (20.2).
The Jazz rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

When it comes to scoring, the Utah Jazz's feeble 108.8 points per game playing at home rates 5th-worst in the NBA this year.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 7th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games as the home team.
The Jazz will likely see a decline in possessions today from facing the least up-tempo pace offense in the league this year (the Orlando Magic).

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