Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2025

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Brooklyn Nets · Jan 12, 2025

Updated Jan 13, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has attempted 17.7 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 4.1 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 6.2 3-point attempts per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Brooklyn Nets, branding this as a favorable matchup.
The matchup against Keon Johnson is a strong one for treys; when squaring off against other starting SGs this year, they have successfully made a massive 39.3% of their 3-point attempts (80th percentile).
The Utah Jazz are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from being pitted against the 9th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Brooklyn Nets).
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz grade out best in in the league with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

In terms of shooting, the Jazz's lackluster 108.1 points per game while playing at home measures as the 5th-fewest in the NBA this year.
The 8th-slowest tempo home offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Jazz.
The matchup vs. Brooklyn may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 0.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Nets are away from home (least in the NBA).

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