Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 1/9/2025

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat · Jan 9, 2025

Updated Jan 10, 2025 1:34 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -129 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has made 8.2 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 1.8 higher than he's sunk in all games this season.
Collin Sexton has sunk 2.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season.
This year, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 6.3 three attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, labeling this as a good matchup.
The 6th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz rank 3rd-best in in the league on their home court with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

In regard to scoring, the Jazz's lackluster 109.1 points per game playing at home settles in as the 5th-worst in the NBA this year.
The Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Jazz.
The matchup vs. Miami may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Miami Heat are the visiting squad (4th-least in the league).

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