Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2025

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 7, 2025

Updated Jan 8, 2025 2:04 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has sunk 8.2 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 1.8 higher than he's made over the course of the season.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 9th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Jazz will likely see a rise in possessions today from sharing the court with the quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Atlanta Hawks).
The Utah Jazz check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (7th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

The Utah Jazz rank as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league when playing at home this year.
The matchup vs. the Hawks is a challenging one; they have given up the 5th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs over the last 20 games (15.1).
In contrast to last year's 4.1 clip, Collin Sexton's foul shots sunk have fallen this year to 2.9 per game.

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