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Collin Sexton

Collin Sexton Points
Player Prop - 1/4/2025

Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-137/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -143 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Collin Sexton has successfully made 8.8 baskets per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.1 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year on the road.

Collin Sexton has converted 3.6 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 higher than he's converted from three in all games this year while on the road.

This year, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 6.3 3-point attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, creating a positive matchup.

The 5th-quickest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Jazz.

The Utah Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Collin Sexton has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (77th percentile).

The Utah Jazz check in as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home city, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Utah Jazz.

Collin Sexton will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce stat production across the board.

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