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Collin Sexton

Collin Sexton Points
Player Prop - 12/30/2024

Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Collin Sexton has successfully made 8.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

The Utah Jazz will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from facing the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Nuggets).

Offensive rebounds save possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz rank 2nd-best in in the league as the home team with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.7 foul shots per game this year (3rd-most in the NBA).

Collin Sexton figures to see a spike in efficiency across the board considering holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

When it comes to offense, the Jazz's feeble 107.3 points per game while on their home court rates 4th-lowest in the league this year.

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a tough one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 25 games (5.2).

The Utah Jazz have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home.

Collin Sexton has successfully made just 3.0 foul shots per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 4.1 mark last season.

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