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Collin Sexton

Collin Sexton Points
Player Prop - 12/26/2024

Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Collin Sexton has put up 17.1 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 83rd percentile.

This year, the other team's starting SGs have shot 51.5% on field goal attempts (highest in the league) vs. the Trail Blazers, resulting in a good matchup.

The 5th-fastest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Jazz.

Offensive rebounds save possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz rank 5th-best in in the league on the road with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Out of all players in the league, Collin Sexton ranks in the 87th percentile for free throws scored, putting up a monstrous 3.1 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Collin Sexton has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (79th percentile).

The Jazz have been the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The Utah Jazz will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from squaring off against the 5th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).

Collin Sexton will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen player performance in all stat categories.

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