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Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-123/-104).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -123.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Among all players in the league, Collin Sexton registers in the 82nd percentile, averaging a massive 16.9 points per game this year.This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 41.4% on 3-pointers (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, creating a favorable matchup.The 4th-quickest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz.The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which should increase plays for the Utah Jazz.The Utah Jazz have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Out of all players in the league, Collin Sexton places in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 2.3 fouls per game this year.With respect to scoring, the Jazz's unimpressive 110.2 points per game settles in as the 10th-fewest in the NBA this year.Over the last 15 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.Collin Sexton figures to suffer a reduction in productivity across the board as a result of playing away from home in this contest.
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