Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2024

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Utah Jazz · Dec 21, 2024

Updated Dec 22, 2024 12:39 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has registered 16.8 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this standard: 82nd percentile.
The matchup vs. the Brooklyn Nets is a positive one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 2nd-most 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.9).
The Utah Jazz have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games on the road.
The Utah Jazz have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Collin Sexton has sunk 3.4 foul shots per game this year, placing him in the 90th percentile among all players in the league.

Favors Under

With respect to offense, the Utah Jazz's unimpressive 110.4 points per game places 10th-worst in the league this year.
The Jazz will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year (the Brooklyn Nets).
The matchup against Brooklyn is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted just 2.5 free throws per game this year when the Brooklyn Nets are playing at home (3rd-least in the NBA).
Collin Sexton stands to suffer a drop-off in production in all facets of the game in light of being on the road in this matchup.

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