Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2024

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Utah Jazz · Dec 19, 2024

Updated Dec 20, 2024 3:16 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has posted 16.3 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this metric: 80th percentile.
The 4th-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Utah Jazz.
The Utah Jazz rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Collin Sexton has made 92.1% of his foul shot attempts while on the road this year, ranking in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

The Utah Jazz have been the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup against the Detroit Pistons is a tough one for threes; the other team's starting SGs have posted the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (27.6%).
Collin Sexton will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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