Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 12/6/2024

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz · Dec 6, 2024

Updated Dec 7, 2024 2:34 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has converted 7.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.
The matchup vs. the Portland Trail Blazers is a favorable one for scoring; the opposition's starting SGs have put up the highest field goal rate in the league this year (51.5%).
The Utah Jazz have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games as the away team.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Jazz grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA with 13.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Collin Sexton has converted 3.4 free throws per game this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

The Utah Jazz have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Utah Jazz.
Collin Sexton will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually decreases player performance for all stats.

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