Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2024

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 30, 2024

Updated Dec 1, 2024 1:49 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has posted 21.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's posted in all games this season.
Collin Sexton has converted 3.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year while playing at home.
Collin Sexton has been on the court for 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 5.2 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year at home.
The matchup against the Mavericks is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 5th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1).
The matchup vs. Quentin Grimes is a positive one for shots from the field; when Grimes is on the visiting team fellow starting SGs this year, they have converted an enormous 47.7% of their shots from the field (77th percentile).

Favors Under

With respect to shooting, the Jazz's unimpressive 106.7 points per game on their home court comes in as the 2nd-worst in the NBA this year.
Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, making it tough to get to the foul line.

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