Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 11/19/2024

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Utah Jazz · Nov 19, 2024

Updated Nov 20, 2024 3:19 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has attempted 5.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted overall this season.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 7 games while on the road.
The Utah Jazz will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 10th-fastest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Lakers).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz grade out 9th-best in in the NBA with 11.9 offensive boards per game this year.
Collin Sexton has converted 3.7 free throws per game away from home this year, putting him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league.

Favors Under

Collin Sexton has committed 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's committed in all games this season.
When it comes to shooting, the Utah Jazz's feeble 107.2 points per game ranks 4th-weakest in the league this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have shot 37.1% on field goals (3rd-worst in the league) vs. the Lakers, labeling this as a tough matchup.
Collin Sexton is expected to suffer a drop-off in output in all facets of the game in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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