Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2024

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Utah Jazz · Nov 4, 2024

Updated Nov 4, 2024 8:45 PM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has scored 17.0 points per game when playing on the road since the start of last season, putting him in the 84th percentile -- among the league's best by this standard.
The Jazz have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Utah Jazz will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Chicago Bulls).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.
Out of all players in the league, Collin Sexton rates in the 92nd percentile for free throws made when playing away from home, registering a colossal 3.7 per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Jazz rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. the Bulls is a tough one for field goal attempts; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the least FG attempts per game in the league this year (10.6).
This year, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.7 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Bulls, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.
Collin Sexton will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces player performance in all stat categories.

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