Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2024

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Houston Rockets · Mar 29, 2024

Updated Mar 30, 2024 1:47 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-160/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has successfully made 9.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 more than he's made overall this season.
Collin Sexton has played 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 higher than he's played overall this season.
The 6th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz.
The Rockets have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home city, which ought to raise possessions for the Utah Jazz.
The Utah Jazz check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Houston Rockets is a challenging one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs over the last 20 games (12.6).
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the Rockets, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

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