Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2024

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz · Mar 2, 2024

Updated Mar 2, 2024 10:21 PM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has averaged 21.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
Collin Sexton has made 44.5% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 8.6% more than he's made from downtown in all games this year.
Collin Sexton has played 29.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's played in all games this year.
This year, opposing starting SGs have tallied 6.3 3-point attempts per game (30th-most in the league) against the Heat, making this a positive matchup.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

In regard to offense, the Utah Jazz's lackluster 107.2 points per game away from their home court places 7th-fewest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Jazz will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA this year (the Heat).
Collin Sexton will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces player production across the board.

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