Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2024

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Philadelphia 76ers · Feb 1, 2024

Updated Feb 2, 2024 2:57 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has notched 26.0 points per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 7.1 more than he's notched over the course of the year at home.
The matchup against Philadelphia is a good one for 3-pointers; when the 76ers are on the road, the opposition's starting SGs have compiled the 27th-highest three rate in the league this year (46.2%).
The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Utah Jazz.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz rank 2ndbest in in the league with 12.7 offensive boards per game this year.
Collin Sexton has successfully made 6.6 free throws per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.8 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year while at home.

Favors Under

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 6th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should reduce plays for the Jazz.
The Philadelphia 76ers have given up the most offensive boards per game (13.1) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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